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- Wednesday's Scoop: Drifting🌤️
Wednesday's Scoop: Drifting🌤️
Wendy's surge pricing & Starbucks union concessions
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Here’s what you need to know today to inform your work, spending, and investments…
🌎 Big picture
The government is on track for a partial shutdown on Friday.
2023 ended up being a good year for the broader economy.
US renewable energy investment is at record highs.
How are you feeling about the economy? |
💼 Work trends
Unemployment Rate: 3.7%
Still near the lowest rate in 50+ years
The US economy actually had a good year last year, even if it might not have felt like it. In a revised update, the Commerce Department reported real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a 3.2% annualized rate in the final three months of the year, down from 4.9% in the third quarter but way better than economists predicted. The economy grew 2.5% throughout 2023. Americans spent a lot more, and disposable income shot up, even after accounting for inflation and taxes. Businesses exported and invested more, and the government spent more.
🤓 Inside Scoop: What is GDP, and why does it matter?
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is how we track how much stuff the economy is producing. The actual number (~$28 trillion) doesn't matter as much as the direction and magnitude. We track the growth rate of real GDP (inflation-adjusted) to know whether the economy is expanding or contracting from the previous quarter.
The reporting style can be a bit confusing. The main number you hear will be an annualized growth rate (+3.2%), representing how much the GDP would increase/decrease if the economy hypothetically grew at that rate for an entire year. It's different from how much our production increased/decreased quarter-to-quarter (+0.8%) and not representative of the growth/decline over the past year (+2.5%). Annualizing the past quarter’s change makes the backward-looking number a little more forward-looking.
Congress must agree on a budget or pass another procrastination bill by Friday to avoid a government shutdown. The House, Senate, and President have to agree to an annual budget every year by October 1. This past year, they couldn’t come to terms. The House fired the Speaker for the first time ever and passed the first Continuing Resolution to delay a decision for six weeks. In November, they did it again. In January, Congress gave themselves until March to determine the budget for the year. Now, the deadline approaches again without a clear plan.
📈 Investment trends
The Market: ⬇️ -0.2%
S&P 500: 5,069.76
1Mo: +3% | 1Yr: +28% | 5Yr: +81%
The market floated sideways today without much major news. The economy was doing well at the end of the year, but warning signs have started to show in January and February. The AI optimism can only go so far.
Wind and solar energy investment reached a new record in the United States last year, but it’s still insufficient to meet America’s climate goals. Zero-emissions electricity generation and storage surged 32% in 2023, thanks to accelerated investment from the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act. However, an analysis from a joint group of researchers at Princeton, MIT, and others said that investments need to scale faster if the country intends to meet its goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 40% by 2030.
🏭 Companies worth watching
💡Practice having an opinion. Build your voice. It accelerates your comprehension and comfort with these topics.
⚖️ Invest in AI or cut costs today..?
Wendy's | Nugget Surge Pricing Wendy's is investing $20M to install digital menu boards nationwide with enhanced artificial intelligence capable of dynamic pricing changes throughout the day. The fast food chain has also begun using AI chatbots to take drive-thru orders.
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💭 Broader perspectives…
Is dynamic pricing unethical? |
⚖️ Work with unions or fight them..?
Starbucks | Union Progress Starbucks has remarkably agreed to a negotiating framework with its new union after three years and hundreds of labor rights complaints about threatening and illegally firing organizing workers. The coffee giant offered to reinstate withheld benefits to unionized workers.
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⚖️ Make cuts or keep investing..?
Apple | Car Abandoned Apple is giving up on its electric car venture after 10 years of development that has suffered consistent setbacks and reduced scope from its initial autonomous vision. Its 2,000 employees will be cut or refocused on artificial intelligence.
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Bumble | Total Shakeup Bumble will lay off a third of its staff, saving $55M annually, and invest in revamping the dating app with artificial technology to turn around slumping sales and users. The new CEO from Slack overhauled its senior leadership last week.
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⚖️ Roll back or push forward with buggy tech..?
Alphabet | Unacceptable AI Google's CEO announced plans for structural changes following controversy around the embedded bias in its artificial intelligence product forced it to roll back certain image-generation features. Google officially launched Gemini in February, charging $20 per month.
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