Today's Scoop:

Flying ☀️

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Here’s what you need to know today…

Big Picture

  1. Inflation seems to be under control.

  2. Wages are finally catching up to living costs.

  3. It has been a historic year for worker strikes and walkouts.

The Market: ⬆️+0.5%

S&P 500: 4,643.70
1Mo: +5% | 1Yr: +16% | 5Yr: +79%

The market floated to its highest level in nearly two years today after an encouraging inflation report. The S&P 500 is less than 4% from a complete recovery and a new all-time high.

Inflation seems to be under control, but that doesn’t mean things are getting cheaper. Living costs edged up slightly last month. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by only 0.1% in November, up 3.1% from last year. Prices at the pump fell 6%, but grocery and dining costs kept inching higher. When stripping out more volatile food and energy prices, core CPI rose 0.3%, up 4.0% from a year ago. Clothes, furniture, and recreational stuff got a little cheaper. Higher home prices and rental costs are still the most significant inflators, but government home pricing statistics are always a little stale and funky. This, combined with a more balanced supply and demand in the jobs market, is what policymakers want to see. We’ll find out tomorrow if they will change their interest rate policies.

Wages are starting to catch up to rising living costs. The Labor Department reported real average hourly earnings for all employees increased by 0.2% in November after an increase in October. When adjusting for inflation, wages are up 0.8% from a year ago. That’s not huge, but it’s an encouraging sign that our economy is getting healthier. Rising living costs have strained most Americans. In a consumption-driven economy, a healthy consumer is paramount.

Workers in the United States waged a historic battle this year to secure higher pay and better conditions. Across several industries, strikes and walkouts led to 4.5 million days of work stoppages in October, the most in four decades. From Hollywood actors to airline pilots, delivery workers, healthcare providers, auto workers, and casino employees, Americans earned living wages and protections against harsh conditions and competing technologies like AI. This labor movement reignited the influence of unions across the US.

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Company Scoops 🗣️🌎💰

 

💡How are these companies doing? Judge their decisions. Investing starts with an opinion.

 

New York Times

The Future of News

The New York Times hired the co-founder of Quartz as an editorial director focused on expanding its artificial intelligence capabilities.

The newspaper is committed to exploring AI's potential uses and risks in delivering the news.

Microsoft

More Carbon Capture

Microsoft invested in two more big carbon capture projects this week, one storing CO2 released from biofuel production and one focused on reforestation in the Brazilian Amazon.

The tech giant aims to have net negative emissions by 2030.

Pfizer

Cancer Expansion

Pfizer plans to create a new oncology division early next year after finalizing its $43B acquisition of cancer drugmaker Seagen.

The drugmaker announced layoffs and budget cuts in October due to lower sales of its COVID-19 vaccine.

JPMorgan Chase

Bigger Banking

America's biggest bank keeps getting bigger while most shrink, overhauling branches acquired from First Republic and opening 167 more by year-end.

JPMorgan successfully retained most of First Republic's clients and employees in the takeover.

Hasbro

Downsizing Again

Hasbro is cutting over 20% of its staff after a disappointing start to the holiday shopping season followed four consecutive quarterly losses.

The toy maker already laid off 15% of its employees earlier this year as sales began to slow.

(These links only work for 24 hours while the story is live.)

 Inside Scoop 🤓

What is the Consumer Price Index (CPI)?

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the main ways economists track inflation. Inflation is the rate at which things get more expensive. The CPI looks at a set basket of stuff your average consumer spends money on and tracks how much it costs each month. The rate of change is inflation.

Prices rarely go down. It's normal for things to get more expensive. You'll never be able to buy a Coke for a quarter again, but that's okay. Low inflation (~1-2% per year, 0.0-0.2% per month) is standard and almost unnoticeable. High inflation, like we saw last year, with prices of essential goods going up nearly 7-10% per year, is a problem. It's unmanageable, especially if our incomes aren't rising in tandem. Low inflation, where incomes keep up or outpace rising living costs, is the goal for economic policy, not zero or negative inflation.

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