Today's Scoop:

Relief☀️

Hey friends, big day! Here’s what you need to know…

Big Picture

  1. Living costs aren’t rising as quickly anymore.

  2. Some stuff is actually getting cheaper.

  3. Policymakers think the economy is improving.

The Market: ⬆️+0.7%

S&P 500: 4,472.16
1Mo: +2% | 1Yr: +18% | 5Yr: +60%

The market jumped to a new 2023 high today as investors celebrated a better-than-expected inflation report.

Living costs aren't rising as quickly anymore, aka lower inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index [🤓] rose only 0.2% in June, slightly faster than in May, but still at a much more normal rate of up to 0.2% per month. The average cost of everything we spend money on is now only 3% higher than it was a year ago. Unlike most of this year, the slower overall inflation wasn’t driven by a big decline in energy costs offsetting other rising prices. Core expenses mostly just stopped rising as quickly.

Some stuff's already getting cheaper. Basic foods like dairy, meat, eggs, and beverages all saw shrinking price tags. So did used cars, fuel, and airline fares.

Policymakers think the economy's improving. In its bi-quarterly economic report, the Federal Reserve highlighted a small uptick in economic activity, marked by pretty resilient consumer spending and businesses managing costs and finding workers more easily.

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 Inside Scoop 🤓

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the main ways economists track inflation. Inflation is the rate at which things get more expensive. The CPI looks at a set basket of stuff your average consumer spends money on and tracks how much it costs each month. The rate of change is inflation.

Prices rarely go down. It's normal for things to get more expensive. You'll never be able to buy a Coke for a quarter again, but that's ok. Low inflation (~1-2% per year) is standard and almost unnoticeable. High inflation, like we saw last year, with prices of essential goods going up nearly 7-10% per year, is a problem. It's unmanageable, especially if our incomes aren't rising in tandem.

Policymakers have been raising interest rates to slow economic activity and cool spending so prices stop rising so quickly.

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