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šŸ”Scoops Spotlight

Breaking down the latest news impacting your life, business, and money.

Hey friends - heck of a ride this week. I’ve got some reassuring context about the scary headlines for you, so you can go into your weekend with a little peace.

 

Welcome back to the weekly Scoops Spotlight, where we’ll serve up a little summary of the most important business and money news of the week with the company scoops that got the most community reactions.

šŸŒŽ The Big Picture

I find myself struggling every week to really identify what the most important topic of the week is, because it feels like there’s something momentous hitting the wire every day.

For now, let’s call it the war in the Middle East. But there’s not a lot to say about it from an economic standpoint yet. Oil prices have climbed 20%+ in the past week, which is already filtering through to prices at the pump. But that’s much less dramatic than the climb from the war in Ukraine. (~$80/barrel today vs. $120/barrel peak after Russia invaded). And it’s hard to know whether this will be over within a week or 10 years, and whether it would really disrupt oil supply enough to have an impact. The US is a net exporter of oil, and we have a lot of reserves. And other oil-exporting countries have started pumping more. So there are plenty of levers to make this not a major issue for gas prices, but there are plenty of ways this could go sideways that I’m not qualified to speculate about.

The hiring market is starting to look pretty bleak. But, that’s with has one massive (and reassuring) caveat: stalled hiring doesn’t mean rising unemployment.

The numbers this week and this morning point to one thing: no one is hiring.

Here’s why you’re hearing scary headlines about a terrible job market in February this morning: Healthcare had been the main industry driving most of the hiring for a while, but with strikes last month, the sector wasn’t able to boost the overall ā€œjobs numberā€ that every news outlet talks about. That number is how many more people had jobs in the US than the month before. The health of the economy is evaluated based on growth, so economists like to see 100K-200K more people working every month. Last year, it was about 15K/month. In February, the number of people working declined. Employment has declined across many industries for months. The ā€œinformationā€ industry has lost an average of 5,000 jobs per month over the prior 12 months.

Reassurance: declining employment doesn’t necessarily mean layoffs. 

The US workforce is aging out. Boomers are retiring, and younger generations are much smaller numbers. And much of our employment growth has been because of immigration. With immigration stalling, our workforce would naturally decline in size.

Unemployment numbers haven’t risen that much in the past year. Layoff announcements are relatively low nationwide, and weekly new unemployment filings have been low for months.

I haven’t seen any convincing data that AI is significantly influencing layoffs. It is likely just going to provide support for business leaders to avoid hiring. Post I made last week on Block’s 40% staff cut due to ā€œAIā€ below.

So there are some silver linings to make the headlines a little less jarring.

Block’s 40% Layoff: AI Fears or Business Realignment | Augustus Christensen posted on the topic | LinkedIn

Block fired 40% of their company. Stock popped 25%. This isn't the AI story you think it is. Block (fka Square) spoke directly to everyone's huge fear right now: AI is creating mass unemployment. Before you buy the doom narrative, here's what actually happened: Block peaked near 13,000 employees around 2023, up from roughly 4,000 pre-pandemic. They're now cutting from 10,000 to under 6,000. That's returning to pre-pandemic size trend. Same story as the tens of thousands of layoffs from Meta, Google, and Amazon in the past few years. This is also a company that renamed itself from Square to Block in November 2021. Peak crypto, NFT, web3 - weeks after Facebook became Meta. They're very good at reading investor sentiment. Right now, the moment is AI. The cut is real, but it's more likely overdue right-sizing dressed in a compelling narrative. That's not a knock. It's impressive brand management. Why the doom scenarios of "10% unemployment in 2 years from superAI" don't hold up: Think about your own company. How many are still running on Windows Vista? Manual processes? With weird exceptions that only the one back-office person who's been there 20 years understands, and none of it is in a manual anywhere. AI is like a really smart unpaid intern. The tasks the best interns don't screw up are things with a clear process and very little experience-based decision-making. There's a decent amount of that work out there, but it's not most of the work. And it's not all fast-replacement work. Most companies that want to automate will first have to redesign how they operate. That's not a software update. That's a years-long business transformation. The more realistic picture: Boomers are aging out of the workforce in huge numbers. Immigration is stalling. The US just doesn't have enough workers to keep pace with the economy. Last year was the lowest hiring in decades, outside of a recession, but unemployment didn't increase much. AI can fill that gap without necessarily displacing people by the millions. This is capitalism. Companies aren't working 4-day weeks because they can do things 20% faster than 10 years ago. Efficiency drives growth, not just cuts. Where the real impact lands: Entry-level, not mid-career. A 22-year-old faces real headwinds because companies will add AI for that low-skill, process-driven work over new staff. But, on the bright side, a 22-year-old can also be reskilled relatively quickly. The truly catastrophic scenario would be tens of millions of 50-year-olds with 30 years in one job needing to retrain into a completely different industry. That doesn't seem like the path we're on. The signal worth tracking: The market is actively rewarding AI mass layoff announcements. That creates an incentive structure where companies will do what boosts their stock. That might mean that any future normal layoff announcements might just get classified as AI efficiency. Do you think Block is the outlier or the first of the wave? | 23 comments on LinkedIn

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šŸ­ The Companies Everyone’s Talking About

 

Live Nation is fighting to prove that its merger with Ticketmaster didn't make it a concert monopoly.
 

Live Nation will have to publicly defend that its merger with Ticketmaster hasn’t given it unfair control over the live events market after months of failed settlement efforts with government lawyers. The Justice Department and dozens of states are pressing that the concert promotion giant used its scale to lock venues into exclusive ticketing and steer tours away from venues that choose rivals.

The government originally approved the 2010 Live Nation-Ticketmaster merger under the condition that it wouldn’t threaten venues that chose rival ticketing platforms. The feds say Live Nation broke that deal.

eBay's cutting stuff and buying Depop.


 

eBay is laying off about 800 employees, roughly 6% of its full-time workforce, while simultaneously making its biggest bet in years on the future of online shopping. The cuts, the third round in three years, are framed to shift resources toward new priorities, chief among them the $1.2 billion acquisition of Depop, a secondhand fashion marketplace.

Depop generated about $1 billion in merchandise sales in 2025, with US growth approaching 60% year over year. For eBay, which already does more than $10 billion annually in fashion sales, the acquisition deepens its presence in one of retail's fastest-growing categories.

Block is cutting nearly half its workforce in the name of AI-driven efficiency.


 

Block, the payments company behind Square, Cash App and Afterpay, is cutting nearly half its workforce in one of the most dramatic restructurings a major company has announced to date. CEO Jack Dorsey told shareholders the company would shrink from over 10,000 employees to just under 6,000, framing the decision not as a sign of trouble but as a proactive response to what AI now makes possible. He cited a sudden leap in AI model capability in December as the moment he decided to act.

The cuts came alongside a year where gross profit grew 17%, reinforcing Dorsey's argument that the business is healthy. He predicted most companies will arrive at the same conclusion within a year.  Block's workforce nearly tripled between 2019 and 2023, and some analysts have questioned whether AI is genuinely driving the cuts or simply providing convenient cover for a long-overdue correction. Block's stock surged more than 20% after the announcement, suggesting investors are rewarding the leaner vision regardless.

Netflix

Netflix gave up on buying Warner Bros.


 

Netflix walked away from its months-long attempt to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio and streaming assets after Warner’s board declared a rival offer from Paramount to be superior. Rather than raise its $27.75 per share offer to match Paramount’s $31 per share bid for the entire company, Netflix declined to match it. Co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters said it plainly: the deal was ā€œalways a ā€˜nice to have’ at the right price, not a ā€˜must have’ at any price.ā€

Paramount paid the $2.8 billion breakup fee Netflix was owed, effectively handing Netflix a win for simply walking away. The more than $110 billion deal still requires regulatory approval.

Target

Target's new CEO unveiled an ambitious turnaround plan this week.


 

Target's new CEO used the company's fourth quarter earnings report this week to lay out an ambitious turnaround plan, pledging to spend more than $2 billion this year on opening 30 new stores, remodels, and improving the overall shopping experience with trendy apparel cycles and Beauty Studio concepts.

The Minneapolis-based retailer has struggled through roughly four years of flat or declining sales, weighed down by slow sales in non-essential categories, like apparel and home furnishings, which make up nearly a third of annual sales. The company also cut 1,800 corporate roles last October to control costs and said it would redirect savings into in-store jobs to address long checkout lines and messy shelves.

ā” The Big Question of the Week

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Scoops app users: We have taken the beta app offline for a short period for some major updates. Can’t wait to show you all what we’ve been working on! Reach out if you have any questions.

We’re going to switch up the content in this spotlight for a bit to make sure you all have the info you need to master your week.

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