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- Monday's Scoop: Optimistic☀️
Monday's Scoop: Optimistic☀️
BP bails on oil reductions & Spirit plans for bankruptcy
Hey friends - hope you had a phenomenal weekend.
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Here’s what you need to know today to inform your work, spending, and investments:
🌎 Big picture
Hiring picked up in September.
Unemployment keeps falling across racial and gender groups.
California demands more environmental accountability from big businesses.
How are you feeling about the economy? |
💼 Work trends
Unemployment Rate: 4.1%
Relatively normal, low
Hiring picked up unexpectedly in September. The Labor Department reported that employers added 254,000 new jobs last month, well above the 150,000 economists expected. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%, and average hourly earnings rose 0.4% for the month, up 4% from a year ago, both better than expected. Sectors like hospitality, healthcare, and construction led the hiring gains, with restaurants and bars adding 69,000 positions. Hiring numbers for July and August were also revised higher than initially estimated. This is the latest indication that the economy is doing pretty well, with low layoffs, continued hiring, and wages regaining ground on the elevated cost of living.
More Americans are starting to feel the full economic recovery. Unemployment rates for Black and Hispanic men fell notably in September, providing a positive sign in the latest jobs data from the Department of Labor. The jobless rate for Black men dropped to 5.1% from 5.9%, marking its first decrease in five months, while Hispanic men saw a decline to 4.1% from 4.8%. Meanwhile, the overall unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%. The unemployment rate for Black Americans is typically twice as high as that of White Americans. Unemployment declined for women of all racial groups. Labor force participation—measuring those working or seeking work—increased slightly for Black workers but dipped for Asian and Hispanic workers, highlighting some ongoing disparities in the broader job market. Overall, labor force participation has been steadily climbing for the past few years.
🤓 Inside Scoop: How does the unemployment rate relate to the labor force participation rate?
The unemployment rate and the labor force participation rate are two key metrics policymakers track to understand the state of the jobs market. The labor force is defined as everyone who is employed or unemployed. The participation rate is that number divided by the whole working-age population.
The most important part to understand is that the government only defines the unemployed as those who have actively looked for a job in the past four weeks. The unemployment rate does not track those who have stopped looking for a job, like discouraged workers or people who stopped working to care for their children or elderly parents.
Comparing these two measures can provide more insight into the economy. A declining unemployment rate paired with a declining participation rate might indicate structural problems keeping people from working. Declining unemployment with increasing or steady participation is ideal.
🌊 Climate trends
Global Energy Emissions: 37.4 billion tonnes of CO2
An all-time high, up 1.1% from 2022. (IEA)
California is demanding more environmental transparency from big companies. Governor Gavin Newsom signed Senate Bill 219, which is set to require large businesses operating in the state to disclose detailed climate impact data starting in 2026. Given that California is the largest sub-national economy in the world, this move could have significant ripple effects, pushing companies to share more about their climate impact. Under SB 219, firms making over $1 billion annually will need to report greenhouse gas emissions from their operations and power use (scope 1 and 2) and, starting in 2027, broader emissions produced from their supply chain or products (scope 3). The bill also mandates disclosures on how companies manage climate-related financial risks. These rules aim to make environmental data more accessible to Californians, promising a new level of transparency. With California home to thousands of large companies, this legislation could set a new standard for climate accountability.
📈 Investment trends
The Market: ⬇️ -1.0%
S&P 500: 5,695.94
1Mo: +4% | 1Yr: +31% | 5Yr: +92%
The market sank lower on Monday as investors worried that the economy might be doing too well for the Federal Reserve to keep lowering borrowing costs. The Fed started cutting interest rates to avoid an economic slowdown, but the strong hiring report on Friday might encourage them to keep things where they are now.
🏭 Companies worth watching
👍👎 APPROVAL RATINGS
Act like a boardmember and judge how companies behave. Engaging helps build your financial confidence and hold corporations accountable. (+2pts)
BP | Sustainability Retreat BP is making a U-turn on its green strategy, ditching plans to cut oil and gas output by 2030, instead eyeing new investments in the Middle East and Gulf of Mexico. This marks a major reversal from the energy giant’s ambitious clean energy transition goals toward emphasizing short-term profitability.
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💭 Broader perspectives… (+2pts)
Should energy companies feel responsible for the pollution caused by burning fossil fuels? |
Spirit Airlines | Financial Turbulence Spirit Airlines is considering filing for bankruptcy as it faces a looming deadline to refinance over $1B in debt. The blocked JetBlue merger and rising operational costs have added financial pressure. The iconic yellow plane airline has been furloughing pilots, cutting flights and deferring new plane orders as it tries to stabilize.
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Pfizer | Profit Pressure Pfizer is facing new pressure from an activist investor who just built a $1B stake and reached out to former Pfizer leaders about necessary strategic shifts. The drugmaker has struggled to replace lost sales from declining demand for its COVID-19 products.
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Lucid Motors | Sales Acceleration Luxury electric carmaker Lucid Motors is revving up its sales game, delivering more cars sold this year than in all of 2023, with three months still to go. The automaker, gearing up for a new SUV launch, will still need more speed to meet its 9,000-vehicle target for the year.
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Stellantis | Warring with Workers Carmaker Stellantis is taking the United Auto Workers to court, claiming the worker union's threats to strike are unlawful under their contract and seeking compensation for potential losses. Workers say the Dodge and Jeep maker has already broken last year's contract with layoffs, factory closures, and delayed investments.
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